Janerik Larsson
Det är 80 dagar kvar till det brittiska parlamentsvalet.
The Times har idag en analys av hur svårt det är för torypartiet att vinna tillbaka UKIP-anhängare.
It is on the economic dimension where we find another important divide between Conservative and Ukip supporters, and one that may well prevent Cameron from squeezing Farage’s base over the next 80 Days.
One of the most intriguing aspects about the Ukip phenomenon is the economic views of its supporters. Consider just one fact; since the onset of the financial crisis they have consistently been among the least likely of all voters to say that they feel the recovery, and that they expect to feel it in the future.
This poses an obvious problem for a Conservative campaign that is focusing hard on a narrative about recovery while simultaneously downplaying the social and cultural issues that also guide these voters. And when it comes to the economy the differences between Conservative and Ukip voters are by no means slight. In fact they point toward fundamentally different outlooks.
While 93 per cent of Conservatives think that spending cuts to reduce the deficit have been necessary, among Ukip voters this figure tumbles to 64 per cent. While 84 per cent of Conservative voters think that the cuts have been good for the economy, among Ukip voters this drops to 51 per cent. And while 71 per cent of Conservative voters think that the cuts have been done fairly, among Ukip voters this slumps to 29 per cent – a reflection of the way in which Ukip voters are feeling economically left behind, and unfairly so.
Utan att vara en opinionsexpert skulle jag gissa att en motsvarande svensk analys skulle visa att SD-sympatisörer också befinner sig ganska långt från både regeringens och Alliansens bild av ekonomin.